Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 7

Season: 523-600 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Atlanta Braves away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+3.4%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$12.77
Athletics away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Updated 3:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice