Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 4

Season: 357-413 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Cleveland Guardians away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Houston Astros home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 4:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice