Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 21

Season: 432-505 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Texas Rangers · 6:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.2%
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$44.80
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
-124
Book
Stake
$47.45
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Minnesota Twins away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Chicago White Sox away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Boston Red Sox away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$26.77
Updated 3:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice