Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 20

Season: 578-652 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
-122
Book
Stake
$49.26
Chicago White Sox away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Chicago Cubs home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 7:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice