Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 19

Season: 572-643 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$35.81
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.6%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$30.73
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
San Diego Padres away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Atlanta Braves home
vs Texas Rangers · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.3%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+104
Book
Stake
$26.19
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Chicago White Sox · 4:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice