Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 5

Season: 513-587 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 6:00 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.1%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$40.59
Atlanta Braves home
vs New York Mets · 4:30 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$40.05
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 8:30 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$35.07
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Kansas City Royals · 7:00 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.50
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 9:00 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:30 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:30 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
San Francisco Giants away
vs Colorado Rockies · 8:00 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$4.47
Updated 12:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice