Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 11

Season: 62-69 (47.3%) · ROI: +9.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:10 AM
Prob
64.4%
Edge
+25.6%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$104.51
New York Mets home
vs Athletics · 8:10 PM
Prob
80.3%
Edge
+19.1%
+18.2% consensus
Odds
-158
Book
Stake
$123.13
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
59.9%
Edge
+15.2%
+13.8% consensus
Odds
+124
Book
Stake
$68.72
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
61.9%
Edge
+12.2%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$60.54
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:05 PM
Prob
58.6%
Edge
+11.4%
+10.4% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$53.99
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+10.7%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$47.47
Minnesota Twins away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
54.7%
Edge
+5.9%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$28.94
Updated 7:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice