Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 12

Season: 554-625 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Chicago Cubs away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
New York Yankees away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Miami Marlins home
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$11.53
Athletics away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 4:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice