Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 18

Season: 422-490 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.2%
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$50.79
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Athletics home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$13.66
Updated 10:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice