Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 23

Season: 445-520 (46.1%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Colorado Rockies home
vs Boston Red Sox · 7:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$15.31
Houston Astros away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Boston Red Sox away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Seattle Mariners away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+0.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$2.49
Updated 2:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice