Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 4

Season: 509-584 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:38 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$30.78
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 1:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 11:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice