Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 19

Season: 90-113 (44.3%) · ROI: +0.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:40 PM
Prob
78.3%
Edge
+24.2%
+23.7% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$131.84
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM
Prob
72.8%
Edge
+22.3%
+21.7% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$112.79
Los Angeles Angels home
vs San Diego Padres · 8:07 PM
Prob
63.6%
Edge
+20.1%
+19.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$88.82
Athletics home
vs Chicago White Sox · 8:05 PM
Prob
76.5%
Edge
+16.5%
+15.3% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$103.06
Detroit Tigers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:35 PM
Prob
59.8%
Edge
+14.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$67.66
Atlanta Braves away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
64.4%
Edge
+14.4%
+13.2% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$72.05
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
49.1%
Edge
+13.5%
+13.0% consensus
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$52.29
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.6%
Edge
+9.8%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$43.60
New York Mets away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
54.8%
Edge
+8.9%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$41.05
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 8:10 PM
Prob
57.1%
Edge
+7.1%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$35.55
Updated 7:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice