Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 14

Season: 72-87 (45.3%) · ROI: +4.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.6%
Edge
+16.0%
+14.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$76.46
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
50.5%
Edge
+14.7%
+13.9% consensus
Odds
+179
Book
Stake
$57.23
San Francisco Giants away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.6%
Edge
+9.1%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$47.09
Seattle Mariners away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
62.0%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$39.99
Washington Nationals away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
44.9%
Edge
+6.2%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$25.23
Updated 1:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice