Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 25

Season: 609-678 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$39.92
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Yankees · 10:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$24.14
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
33.3%
Edge
+4.9%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
+252
Book
Stake
$17.18
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$18.38
New York Mets home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 11:15 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$11.89
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Chicago White Sox home
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Athletics away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 10:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice