Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 11

Season: 65-74 (46.8%) · ROI: +7.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:10 AM
Prob
74.8%
Edge
+36.3%
+35.6% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$147.50
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
49.0%
Edge
+12.7%
+12.0% consensus
Odds
+176
Book
Stake
$49.98
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
49.3%
Edge
+11.6%
+10.3% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$46.39
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
43.8%
Edge
+10.0%
Odds
+196
Book
Stake
$37.70
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
50.9%
Edge
+9.2%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$39.61
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 5:40 PM
Prob
58.7%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$38.29
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
48.4%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$30.71
Updated 3:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice