Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, May 3

Season: 210-230 (47.7%) · ROI: -0.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:10 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.1%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$39.73
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
San Diego Padres away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
-142
Book
Stake
$31.17
Chicago White Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Atlanta Braves away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 12:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice