Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 29

Season: 631-699 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.4% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$26.42
Washington Nationals home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$29.26
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 4:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$19.72
Chicago White Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 11:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice