Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 58-63 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
59.5%
Edge
+21.0%
+20.0% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$85.51
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
56.7%
Edge
+16.7%
+16.1% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$69.54
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
50.7%
Edge
+11.2%
+10.6% consensus
Odds
+153
Book
Stake
$46.32
Boston Red Sox away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
68.1%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$60.76
Baltimore Orioles home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:15 PM
Prob
60.1%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$51.29
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.2%
Edge
+9.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$44.90
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs New York Yankees · 10:10 PM
Prob
46.5%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+162
Book
Stake
$33.65
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.1%
Edge
+8.2%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$38.05
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
53.5%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$37.10
Updated 11:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice