Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 27

Season: 466-536 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.1% consensus
Odds
+172
Book
Stake
$39.28
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs New York Mets · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.8%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
-138
Book
Stake
$34.49
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$4.47
Updated 11:45 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice