Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 2

Season: 199-215 (48.1%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$36.44
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 1:38 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$36.68
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.0%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+146
Book
Stake
$21.02
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Updated 5:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice