Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 30

Season: 487-565 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 12:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Chicago Cubs home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:05 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.9%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$24.53
Houston Astros home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Texas Rangers · 5:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$14.95
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:35 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$12.71
Colorado Rockies home
vs Miami Marlins · 12:40 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$7.44
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Seattle Mariners home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+1.0%
Odds
-191
Book
Stake
$7.52
Updated 2:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice