Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 1

Season: 196-213 (47.9%) · ROI: -0.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 1:38 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$10.59
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 3:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice