Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 2

Season: 498-574 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.0%
Edge
+10.8%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+192
Book
Stake
$40.89
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.6%
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$38.41
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Chicago White Sox · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 7:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice