Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 12

Season: 65-77 (45.8%) · ROI: +4.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
58.0%
Edge
+21.7%
+21.0% consensus
Odds
+176
Book
Stake
$85.26
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.0%
Edge
+15.2%
+14.5% consensus
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$72.83
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
50.2%
Edge
+12.5%
+11.3% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$50.17
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.9%
Edge
+12.1%
Odds
+196
Book
Stake
$45.86
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
70.0%
Edge
+11.3%
+10.0% consensus
Odds
-142
Book
Stake
$68.26
Updated 5:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice