Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 23

Season: 597-674 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.5%
Odds
+177
Book
Stake
$37.32
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 9:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Minnesota Twins · 5:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.4%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.68
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 2:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice