Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 5

Season: 361-417 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.5%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$43.94
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
San Diego Padres home
vs New York Mets · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.2%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.26
Chicago White Sox away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Seattle Mariners away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
San Diego Padres home
vs New York Mets · 2:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Atlanta Braves home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$8.13
Updated 1:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice