Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 2

Season: 501-575 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves home
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.1%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
-116
Book
Stake
$54.41
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$13.99
Updated 3:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice