Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 5

Season: 514-587 (46.7%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Kansas City Royals · 7:00 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 8:30 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 7:30 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.5%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$31.22
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 7:30 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 9:00 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:30 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Updated 9:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice