Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 15

Season: 258-298 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:38 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$35.99
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+7.3%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$30.22
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
San Diego Padres away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
New York Mets home
vs New York Yankees · 11:15 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$15.80
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$12.65
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 2:10 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice