Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 8

Season: 381-437 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Athletics · 2:05 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.9%
+10.2% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$61.92
Washington Nationals away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.2%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$44.80
Seattle Mariners away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$29.01
Chicago Cubs away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
San Diego Padres home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Washington Nationals away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Atlanta Braves away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Boston Red Sox away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Texas Rangers away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$4.47
Updated 2:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice