Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 62-66 (48.4%) · ROI: +12.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
56.7%
Edge
+17.5%
+16.1% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$71.87
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.2%
Edge
+11.8%
+10.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$52.07
Baltimore Orioles home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:15 PM
Prob
60.1%
Edge
+11.5%
+10.1% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$55.95
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Minnesota Twins · 7:07 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$46.73
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs New York Yankees · 10:10 PM
Prob
46.5%
Edge
+8.8%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$35.15
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
52.4%
Edge
+8.0%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$35.98
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+192
Book
Stake
$28.53
Updated 3:05 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice