Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 19

Season: 425-496 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$39.02
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Colorado Rockies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 1:10 AM
Prob
43.1%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+176
Book
Stake
$26.89
Minnesota Twins away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Athletics home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.9%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$24.53
Miami Marlins home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Kansas City Royals · 12:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.0%
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$5.58
Colorado Rockies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$3.83
Updated 1:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice