Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 59-64 (48.0%) · ROI: +11.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
59.5%
Edge
+21.0%
+20.0% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$85.51
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
56.7%
Edge
+17.5%
+16.1% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$71.87
Boston Red Sox away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
68.1%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$60.76
Baltimore Orioles home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:15 PM
Prob
60.1%
Edge
+10.3%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$51.29
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.2%
Edge
+9.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$44.90
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Minnesota Twins · 7:07 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$46.73
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs New York Yankees · 10:10 PM
Prob
46.5%
Edge
+8.8%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$35.15
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
52.4%
Edge
+8.0%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$35.98
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+6.2%
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$23.92
Updated 1:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice