Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 10

Season: 545-618 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 12:15 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.9%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$20.89
Chicago White Sox home
vs Athletics · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Chicago Cubs away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.9%
+1.0% consensus
Odds
-116
Book
Stake
$10.02
Updated 3:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice