Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 15

Season: 74-95 (43.8%) · ROI: +0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 5:15 PM
Prob
69.8%
Edge
+18.9%
+18.0% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$96.18
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
62.5%
Edge
+15.8%
+14.9% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$73.97
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
65.5%
Edge
+12.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$67.31
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:40 PM
Prob
56.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$43.10
Cincinnati Reds home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:40 PM
Prob
58.1%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$37.41
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
43.9%
Edge
+7.3%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$28.76
Updated 8:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice