Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 12

Season: 69-82 (45.7%) · ROI: +5.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
58.5%
Edge
+20.7%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$83.29
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
57.4%
Edge
+17.4%
+16.1% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$72.33
Minnesota Twins home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
51.6%
Edge
+11.9%
+10.2% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$49.35
Washington Nationals away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
44.2%
Edge
+10.8%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+200
Book
Stake
$40.68
Updated 11:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice