Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 12

Season: 555-626 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
61.9%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$35.41
Miami Marlins home
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 8:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice