Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 5

Season: 360-417 (46.3%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:15 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Chicago White Sox away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
San Francisco Giants away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+133
Book
Stake
$11.92
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Atlanta Braves home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 11:15 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
-142
Book
Stake
$13.69
Updated 7:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice