Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 261-301 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.3%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
-101
Book
Stake
$26.69
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-168
Book
Stake
$7.66
Updated 5:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice