Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 12

Season: 66-79 (45.5%) · ROI: +4.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.6%
Edge
+22.1%
+21.5% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$89.98
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
58.5%
Edge
+20.7%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$83.29
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
66.0%
Edge
+20.2%
+18.3% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$93.10
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Boston Red Sox · 6:15 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+12.1%
+10.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$59.30
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+195
Book
Stake
$29.81
Updated 8:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice