Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 14

Season: 72-87 (45.3%) · ROI: +4.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.6%
Edge
+16.0%
+14.9% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$76.46
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
50.5%
Edge
+12.8%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$51.37
San Francisco Giants away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.6%
Edge
+9.4%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$48.07
Seattle Mariners away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
62.0%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$40.95
Updated 8:13 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice