Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 4

Season: 359-415 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+8.9%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$52.52
Seattle Mariners away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Chicago White Sox away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$12.25
Houston Astros home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
Athletics away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Updated 2:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice