Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 25

Season: 457-528 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 4:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+10.1%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$46.32
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Seattle Mariners · 4:35 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 1:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice