Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 20

Season: 95-119 (44.4%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
69.2%
Edge
+16.4%
+15.6% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$86.97
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.4%
Edge
+12.9%
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$65.02
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
64.2%
Edge
+9.5%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$52.43
Athletics away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
48.7%
Edge
+9.3%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$38.31
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.9%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$41.51
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
61.9%
Edge
+8.6%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$46.00
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.9%
Edge
+7.7%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$35.63
Updated 11:31 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice