Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 1

Season: 492-567 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Minnesota Twins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 7:07 PM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$25.00
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 12:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+4.0%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
-168
Book
Stake
$26.69
San Francisco Giants away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.32
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Texas Rangers · 5:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 12:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice