Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 9

Season: 531-611 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$36.03
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
67.8%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
-164
Book
Stake
$37.61
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Atlanta Braves · 4:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Boston Red Sox away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 5:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice