Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, May 13

Season: 247-285 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
San Francisco Giants away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+210
Book
Stake
$25.10
Detroit Tigers away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
San Diego Padres away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Updated 10:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice