Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 261-301 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Miami Marlins away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.3%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
-101
Book
Stake
$26.69
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$15.31
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.0% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 7:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice