Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 1

Season: 492-567 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 7:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.9%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$58.03
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Minnesota Twins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
San Francisco Giants away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 12:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$32.52
Texas Rangers away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$23.11
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 7:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice