Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 16

Season: 411-474 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds home
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Miami Marlins away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.15
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
Updated 4:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice